U. S. Energy Prices - Cause and Effect
When it comes to U.S. energy prices, everything seems to be affected by demand. For instance, if there is a higher demand for oil, then the gas prices go up. Oddly enough the economic climate should have lowered the standard cost, but due to the demand in other countries, it's a lot higher then we would expect.
Oil consumption worldwide increased by 28.6% between 1978 and 2004. It is only a small amount less than that, 25.8% of this year's increase alone, that China is responsible for. South Korea's demand for oil rose by a staggering 344% from 1978 to 2004, also widely increasing demand for oil. This growth in demand for oil has driven prices up to approximately $70 a barrel in the last quarter of 2009, from just $12 at the start of 1999.
You should also understand that the price which revolves around crude oil influences other fuel costs. You will find that electricity, gasoline and petroleum are the big three. It's crazy to think that even though we're going through a stressful time, prices are expected to rise when we reach 2010. This is because we'll be well above our 1.25 million barrels we use each day right now.
However, you will see a drop again around the latter part of 2009. When we reach the increase though, you can expect to see a rise of 40c per gallon on gasoline. Even though this will be a major cost increase throughout each month, the good news is there will be a slight decline in the electricity side of things.
Let's face it, as of right now the economy is unstable and the U.S. energy costs are even more uncertain. The only way for the demand to get lower is by companies and small businesses no longer being able to afford the spike in prices. This usually occurs when fuel prices rise and are considered to high. On the surface this would look like a complete downfall, but eventually everything will pick up again. What it comes down to is a difficult balance between crude oil sales and everyone relying on one another. Eventually we'll see the fuel prices rise again when the crude oil prices do.
The first half of 2009 saw a substantial fall in electricity consumption, in the U.S. Electricity sales declined as businesses and residential properties cut back to save money. An uncertain economic climate was responsible for a 4.4% decrease in comparison with 2008. However, the second half of 2009 was more positive. The decline leveled out at a less significant 2.3% decrease in electricity consumption. U.S. energy prices should remain low in the fourth quarter of 2009 before steadily rising again next year as industry improves and the economy settles. Electricity prices are not exempt from this, with estimated declines of 2% in 2010.
The economy is mentioned constantly in relation to U.S. energy prices. As the international recession is far from over, it is expected to take at least a year for demand for fuel to rise back to the peaks of previous years. Since early 2008, prices have steadily declined in response to the sudden uncertainty in finance and industry that had led to worldwide economic recession.
Crude oil prices seem to try to preempt the economy at every step of the way. When figures were released to suggest that the U.S. economy was recovering, prices jumped up, boosting the retail price of gasoline and petroleum. However, these prices dropped again almost immediately as it was made clear that a select amount of data was not the go ahead for a stable economy. For instance, although unemployment benefit claims have declined, the levels of unemployment at still not at a healthy level. While the economy recovers, U.S. energy prices will remain volatile.
With the lowered demand for energy, fuel stockpiles are much higher than expected. This is lowering the price, as more is available. Natural gas, for example, has stockpiles close to reaching a 5-year high. It will be a long time before demand outstrips supply once more and prices will significantly rise. However, while prices remain low, industry should be encouraged and the economy will be on its way to recovery.
For now, the U.S. energy prices have declined thanks to the lack of demand. While lower prices are great, the constant fluctuation around the world will continue this crazy roller coaster. So when 2010 rolls around expect to see an increase in gas prices, but in the meantime enjoy the lower prices.
Oil consumption worldwide increased by 28.6% between 1978 and 2004. It is only a small amount less than that, 25.8% of this year's increase alone, that China is responsible for. South Korea's demand for oil rose by a staggering 344% from 1978 to 2004, also widely increasing demand for oil. This growth in demand for oil has driven prices up to approximately $70 a barrel in the last quarter of 2009, from just $12 at the start of 1999.
You should also understand that the price which revolves around crude oil influences other fuel costs. You will find that electricity, gasoline and petroleum are the big three. It's crazy to think that even though we're going through a stressful time, prices are expected to rise when we reach 2010. This is because we'll be well above our 1.25 million barrels we use each day right now.
However, you will see a drop again around the latter part of 2009. When we reach the increase though, you can expect to see a rise of 40c per gallon on gasoline. Even though this will be a major cost increase throughout each month, the good news is there will be a slight decline in the electricity side of things.
Let's face it, as of right now the economy is unstable and the U.S. energy costs are even more uncertain. The only way for the demand to get lower is by companies and small businesses no longer being able to afford the spike in prices. This usually occurs when fuel prices rise and are considered to high. On the surface this would look like a complete downfall, but eventually everything will pick up again. What it comes down to is a difficult balance between crude oil sales and everyone relying on one another. Eventually we'll see the fuel prices rise again when the crude oil prices do.
The first half of 2009 saw a substantial fall in electricity consumption, in the U.S. Electricity sales declined as businesses and residential properties cut back to save money. An uncertain economic climate was responsible for a 4.4% decrease in comparison with 2008. However, the second half of 2009 was more positive. The decline leveled out at a less significant 2.3% decrease in electricity consumption. U.S. energy prices should remain low in the fourth quarter of 2009 before steadily rising again next year as industry improves and the economy settles. Electricity prices are not exempt from this, with estimated declines of 2% in 2010.
The economy is mentioned constantly in relation to U.S. energy prices. As the international recession is far from over, it is expected to take at least a year for demand for fuel to rise back to the peaks of previous years. Since early 2008, prices have steadily declined in response to the sudden uncertainty in finance and industry that had led to worldwide economic recession.
Crude oil prices seem to try to preempt the economy at every step of the way. When figures were released to suggest that the U.S. economy was recovering, prices jumped up, boosting the retail price of gasoline and petroleum. However, these prices dropped again almost immediately as it was made clear that a select amount of data was not the go ahead for a stable economy. For instance, although unemployment benefit claims have declined, the levels of unemployment at still not at a healthy level. While the economy recovers, U.S. energy prices will remain volatile.
With the lowered demand for energy, fuel stockpiles are much higher than expected. This is lowering the price, as more is available. Natural gas, for example, has stockpiles close to reaching a 5-year high. It will be a long time before demand outstrips supply once more and prices will significantly rise. However, while prices remain low, industry should be encouraged and the economy will be on its way to recovery.
For now, the U.S. energy prices have declined thanks to the lack of demand. While lower prices are great, the constant fluctuation around the world will continue this crazy roller coaster. So when 2010 rolls around expect to see an increase in gas prices, but in the meantime enjoy the lower prices.
About the Author:
About the author: Jerry Dyess specializes in the Electricity market. He has published many articles on Business Electric prices.